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Wednesday, May 23, 2012
Reuters
Facebook advised analysts to cut forecasts before float

As Facebook officials travelled the country to talk up the company's US$16 billion (S$20.4 billion) initial public offering this month, the social networking giant advised analysts for underwriters to reduce revenue and earnings forecasts, said people with direct knowledge.

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Facebook decided to tell analysts to cut estimates due to feedback during the investor roadshow which revealed users were opting for mobile devices which generate less advertising revenue and after consulting with its adviser Morgan Stanley.

"Facebook backed off and said, 'Hey get your models down.'" said a person at one of the underwriters with knowledge of the situation.

Facebook's advisory came around May 9, the day it published an amended prospectus that included a cautionary note about lower advertising revenue.

It isn't known which analysts from the 33 IPO underwriters were contacted by Facebook with the revised guidance. It also isn't clear exactly who from Facebook gave the guidance.

As previously reported by Reuters, the analysts for lead underwriter Morgan Stanley and at least three other underwriters in the following days reduced their forecasts for Facebook's second-quarter and full year revenue, and communicated this to at least some of their institutional clients.

Two US financial regulators will review Facebook's initial public offering (IPO) after it closed flat on float and plunged 11 per cent on Monday. Facebook shares closed 8.9 per cent lower on Tuesday at US$31, shedding more than US$19 billion in market capitalisation from its US$38-per-share offering price last week.

Morgan Stanley says it did nothing wrong in the Facebook IPO. Two sources said Morgan Stanley advised Facebook to urge analysts to lower forecasts.

"Morgan Stanley bankers were telling the company how to handle the research analysts," said a source from one of the underwriting firms with knowledge of the situation.

"Facebook changed the numbers-they didn't forecast their business right and they changed their numbers and told analysts," said another source at one of the underwriters with knowledge of the situation.

"The analyst's underwriters then all changed their numbers based on what management was telling them."

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