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Saturday, Jun 02, 2012
AFP
Dismal economic news sends Dow for a 2012 loss

NEW YORK - US stocks were sucked deeply into global economic downdrafts this week, as growth stalled across major economies and data from four continents painted an increasingly grim picture for the rest of the year.

A big loss on Friday sent the Dow lower than it started 2012 for the first time, while the other major indices were near to giving up hard-wrought gains since January.

The blue chips of the Dow ended the holiday-shortened week at 12,118.57, down 3.3 per cent for the four days and 0.81 per cent off for the year. The broader S&P 500 gave up 3.0 per cent in the week to 1,278.04, while the Nasdaq lost 3.2 per cent, ending at 2,747.48.

While Greece, Spain and the return to crisis of the eurozone was a constant dark cloud over trade, more data showing China's slowdown, and figures confirming that the US remained stuck in its sluggish growth mode, were what really turned US investors into bears.

On Friday, industrial activity indices in both countries showed slowing, and US jobs data for May came in as a real disappointment, with new jobs creation of a meager 69,000 positions less than half what was expected.

"It's an ugly day for US stocks, as a disappointingly weak report on May payrolls has thoroughly rattled investors," said Elizabeth Harrow of Schaeffer's Investment Research.

In addition, investors' hopes for a sign that China will move to stimulate growth were dashed when the government signaled that no such plan was in the works.

Stocks sensitive to spending by American and Chinese consumers and industries took solid hits during the week: commercial banks, fast food franchisers like Yum Brands and McDonald's, heavy equipment vendor Caterpillar and even Apple, the market leader by size.

The bad news also sent crude oil prices plunging and US government bond yields to new lows.

"I don't want to say we are at the panic stage, but investors are hard on selling off," said Peter Cardillo of Rockwell Global Capital.

US investors also still struggled with the debacle of Facebook's May 18 initial public offering: on Friday, the stock closed at US$27.72 (S$33), 27 per cent below the IPO price of US$38.

At least nine class action lawsuits have been filed against Facebook, its underwriters and the Nasdaq market over how the offering was handled.

Economists debated the meaning of the week's data but most argued that the negative mood in the markets was excessive.

"The increase in Treasury prices and the decline in crude oil prices likely reflect the market's ever-growing pessimistic view that the US economic recovery is stalling along with Eurozone weakness," said Wells Fargo Securities.

"While weaker-than-expected economic data may give merit to this argument, we contend there is likely a bit of noise in the data and continue to expect moderate economic growth."

The coming week will be lighter on data, though eyes will be on Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke for any signal the bank might be more open to add stimulus to the economy after demurring since the beginning of the year.

Attention will also focus on developments in China, the world's second-largest economy, and the eurozone.

"The pervasive gloom is almost certain to provide a platform for bears to promote the possibility of a double-dip recession, further declines in home prices, global depression or similar enticing topics.

Expect the bearish rhetoric to pick up sharply," said Dick Green of Briefing.com.

 
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