Clinton-Bush presidential race in 2016 not in the bag

Clinton-Bush presidential race in 2016 not in the bag

Do you miss forrmer presidents Clinton (Bill) and Bush (George HW and W)? If you do, members of the chattering class in Washington may have some good news for you. They have been speculating that we could see a presidential race between a Clinton and a Bush in 2016.

So are we going to party (politics) like it's 1992 (when Democrat Bill Clinton was running against sitting Republican President Bush the First)?

Well. If you've been following the American television cable news shows or talking with Washington "insiders" you would have no choice but to conclude that when it comes to the former Secretary of State and Senator from New York (as well as the ex-First Lady), it's a done deal: Hillary Clinton will be nominated as the Democratic presidential candidate in 2016, and will probably have an excellent chance of beating whoever the Republicans choose to run for the White House.

After all, says the conventional wisdom, "Hillary" (and almost everyone here refers to her by her first name) has everything it takes to be the next Democratic presidential candidate: Name recognition (you would have had to be in a coma for the last 20 years if you don't recognise it) and a lot of money in her electoral war chest (and more will be coming we are promised). There is very little doubt that President Barack Obama and other leading Democrats would back her and that the media love her.

In short, the job is hers for the taking if she wants it (and almost everyone assumes that she does).

But not so fast. Recall that two years ago before the 2008 elections, much of the chatter in Washington was quite the same. The conventional wisdom then was that there was no way that the Democrats were not going to select - the term "crown" was used quite often - the then New York Senator as their presidential candidate.

Then came Barack Obama, a relatively unknown political entity. The young black senator from Chicago entered the race and, well, the rest, as they say, is history. Suffice to recall that senator Clinton was not crowned as the Democratic Party's presidential candidate.

More recently, the latest member of the Bush dynasty, Jeb Bush, the older brother of W who is expected to jump into the cold waters of the 2016 Republican presidential primaries, was regarded as a "sure thing" only a few months ago, but doesn't look so sure anymore.

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