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When 'fringe' homes cross $2,000 psf, has Singapore's idea of 'prime' changed for good?

When 'fringe' homes cross $2,000 psf, has Singapore's idea of 'prime' changed for good?
PHOTO: Stackedhomes

You know a big change is coming, when longstanding classifications and definitions come to a close.

For example, back in 2024, when HDB decided to abandon the "mature" versus "non-mature" classification for flats. A move that makes sense because for years now, "developed" has been a concept that's much more localised; something you'd understand if you live right next to a mall and an MRT station, but your neighbourhood keeps getting called "ulu."

So the change in the classification system reflected changes on the ground; and as we enter 2025, I feel the same thing might be happening to another old concept: regions. By this, I mean the Core Central Region (CCR), Rest of Central Region (RCR), and Outside of Central Region (OCR).

Now I'm not so bold as to assert these mean nothing — for now, they definitely carry weight. But there are some creeping changes that hint that, at some point in the future, the notion of OCR, RCR, and CCR may be as obsolete as "mature versus non-mature."

Observable behaviour is a good place to start. I know this is anecdotal, but it's hard to ignore: ask around and see how many Singaporeans still "go to town" (by which I mean an area like Orchard) for their weekend retail therapy, or just to hang out. I suspect that, more often these days, you hear names like Tampines Mall, Waterway Point, NEX, etc., rather than ION Orchard or Ngee Ann City.

I've met Singaporeans who haven't "gone to town" for so long, their eyes glaze over when I mention Orchard Central or Wheelock; and they need to think really hard to remember what would make them travel all the way there.

These days, most people have everything they need within a short bus ride or walk from their front door. Whether it's groceries, restaurants, clinics, or entertainment, chances are it's a few blocks from you, or about two to three stops by bus. Maybe back in the '90s or before, the nearby amenities were just minimarts and hair salons. But today? I'm willing to bet a huge number of you reading this, right now, could get to a Din Tai Fung, Starbucks, Lululemon, Uniqlo, etc., in 15 minutes or under.

And this is not even the end-point of our decentralisation: it's still a work in progress, so it will be more pronounced in future. When you consider all the separate hubs and nodes, is the OCR really "fringe" anymore?

Then there's the way prices have changed

Earlier this year, the median PSF for OCR condos clocked in at $2,554 psf. This was a mere sliver away from the RCR, which registered S$2,386 psf (you can find a little more detail on that here.) CCR condos, meanwhile, are at around $2,800 to $3,300 psf — this happens to be below the 2024 CCR average of $3,305 psf.

Meanwhile, in the OCR, we see condos like Springleaf Residence reach around $2,064 psf, while Canberra Crescent Residences went for around $1,974 psf. Now, of course, I'm aware that the actual total price (the quantum) is lower as the units are built to be affordable; but it doesn't change the fact that these are numbers we'd never have associated with the "most affordable" region in the previous decade.

More to the point, we're seeing CCR prices flattening, while RCR and especially OCR prices rise. Now, combine that with the reality on the ground: residents in most parts of the OCR no longer have significantly worse amenities compared to those in the RCR or CCR. In fact, some parts of the CCR are even arguably worse off, like Marina Bay with its lack of school access.

This shift is further supported by an ageing population.

Older residents are less inclined to travel far for errands, meals, or entertainment. I'm not even 50, and already I dread the thought of taking the train all the way to Bugis for late-night hot pot. And more to the point, why would I when there's probably a Haidilao closer to me.

*Note: I just Googled it and yes, there's one two bus stops away. I'm in a very new neighbourhood, and I could still predict that even before I had to Google it.

And to their credit, URA's push to decentralise anticipated this very trend. The convenience of having a clinic, supermarket, and food court nearby isn't just a lifestyle perk — someone in charge knew it would be a necessity for an ageing society.

It's just a happy coincidence that it would also make access to amenities more equal; and in that process, gradually erode the price difference by region.

So where do we go from here? I think we'll have a new way to define things — but in future, we'll probably be assessing and pricing convenience by how far things are from their given neighbourhood hub; and less so by which general district or region they're in.

It's worth thinking about, if you end up weighing your choices between an RCR or CCR condo, or an OCR and RCR condo. That technical distinction may matter less a long time from now, at the point of resale — so maybe focus on ground-level things like which one is a shorter walk to the nearest mall.

Weekly sales roundup (Oct 6 – 12)

Top 5 most expensive new sales (by project)

PROJECT NAMEPRICE S$AREA (SQFT)$PSFTENURE
21 ANDERSON$22,700,0004489$5,057FH
SKYWATERS RESIDENCES$11,687,0001798$6,50199 years
UPPERHOUSE AT ORCHARD BOULEVARD$7,209,0002056$3,50699 yrs (2024)
THE AVENIR$7,155,0002056$3,480FH
SKYE AT HOLLAND$5,840,0001765$3,30899 years

Top 5 cheapest new sales (by project)

PROJECT NAMEPRICE S$AREA (SQFT)$PSFTENURE
SPRINGLEAF RESIDENCE$1,202,000527$2,27999 yrs (2024)
HILL HOUSE$1,298,000431$3,015999 yrs (1841)
RIVER GREEN$1,474,000452$3,26099 yrs (2024)
UPPERHOUSE AT ORCHARD BOULEVARD$1,509,000474$3,18699 yrs (2024)
SKYE AT HOLLAND$1,510,000581$2,59899 years

Top 5 most expensive resale

PROJECT NAMEPRICE S$AREA (SQFT)$PSFTENURE
NASSIM LODGE$14,500,0004176$3,472FH
CLIVEDEN AT GRANGE$9,000,0002842$3,167FH
REGENCY PARK$8,450,0003649$2,316FH
SOUTH BEACH RESIDENCES$7,500,0002121$3,53799 yrs (2007)
EDEN RESIDENCES CAPITOL$7,441,0002304$3,23099 yrs (2011)

Top 5 cheapest resale

PROJECT NAMEPRICE S$AREA (SQFT)$PSFTENURE
SUITES @ SIMS$653,000344$1,896FH
THE INFLORA$680,000484$1,40499 yrs (2012)
PARC ELEGANCE$686,000398$1,722FH
CARDIFF RESIDENCE$725,000431$1,68499 yrs (2011)
THE ALPS RESIDENCES$728,000506$1,43999 yrs (2015)

Top 5 biggest winners

PROJECT NAMEPRICE S$AREA (SQFT)$PSFRETURNSHOLDING PERIOD
DAKOTA RESIDENCES$4,150,0001894$2,191$2,146,60017 Years
SOUTHBANK$2,700,0001313$2,056$1,919,92019 Years
AALTO$5,150,0001959$2,629$1,819,70015 Years
THE SPRINGBLOOM$2,800,0001647$1,700$1,740,00018 Years
REGENCY PARK$8,450,0003649$2,316$1,650,0003 Years

Top 5 biggest losers

PROJECT NAMEPRICE S$AREA (SQFT)$PSFRETURNSHOLDING PERIOD
CLIVEDEN AT GRANGE$9,000,0002842$3,167-$1,380,00018 Years
THE SCOTTS TOWER$1,200,000657$1,828-$1,317,00013 Years
THE BERTH BY THE COVE$2,015,0001453$1,387-$789,29015 Years
HALLMARK RESIDENCES$4,860,0002960$1,642-$450,00011 Years
THE COAST AT SENTOSA COVE$3,068,0002024$1,516-$369,28019 Years

Top 5 biggest winners (ROI per cent)

PROJECT NAMEPRICE S$AREA (SQFT)$PSFROI (per cent)HOLDING PERIOD
SOUTHBANK$2,700,0001313$2,056246per cent19 Years
BALESTIER POINT$1,900,0001636$1,161245per cent21 Years
THE TROPICA$2,200,0001507$1,460198per cent27 Years
ICON$1,180,000700$1,687170per cent22 Years
THE TROPICA$1,620,0001238$1,309170per cent18 Years

Top 5 biggest losers (ROI per cent)

PROJECT NAMEPRICE S$AREA (SQFT)$PSFROI (per cent)HOLDING PERIOD
THE SCOTTS TOWER$1,200,000657$1,828-52per cent13 Years
THE BERTH BY THE COVE$2,015,0001453$1,387-28per cent15 Years
CLIVEDEN AT GRANGE$9,000,0002842$3,167-13per cent18 Years
THE COAST AT SENTOSA COVE$3,068,0002024$1,516-11per cent19 Years
THE SAIL @ MARINA BAY$1,068,000657$1,627-10per cent15 Years

Transaction breakdown

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This article was first published in Stackedhomes.

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